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Backcountry Access Road Closure

Due to recent storm damage, the access road to the northern trailhead is closed until further notice. Please use alternate routes.

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Mountain Weather

Issued
Thursday, October 15, 2026 - 2:30PM
Author
Rachel Fryan

Weather Synopsis

Light snow showers along the west slopes of the Cascades will taper off overnight. On Tuesday, the main weather event will begin as warm frontal moisture arrives along the coast in the morning, and quickly slides into the central Cascades to Mt Hood by late morning/mid-day. Snow levels will initially stay below Pass and most trailheads during the day on Tuesday, and snowfall rates will become moderate to heavy by sunset, most likely from the Snoqualmie Pass corridor to the far south WA Cascades in the afternoon and early evening. Even this close to the onset of the storm, there's a fair amount of uncertainity regarding the northern/southern impact of the storm. There's higher confidence that southerly winds will ramp up in the afternoon as storm conditions intensify.

Moderate to locally heavy precipitation will continue through the first half of Tuesday night, but snow levels will rise more agressively, with a change to rain at mid-elevations for the Mt Hood area and the south WA Cascades first. As the warm frontal precipitation begins to taper off Wednesday morning and milder air continues to punch inland with westerly flow aloft, we may see mixed precipitation including freezing rain/drizzle in Snoqualmie Pass, with a chance along the east slopes of the Cascades near and south of I-90.

We should see a short break in the action on Wednesday as another warm front approaches the area. Milder air will have moved into the region at this point, and snow levels will be between 4000-6000' for northern/central Cascades and 6000-8000' for the S. Cascades and Mt. Hood area.

Weather Summary by Zone

Tonight · Thu Oct 15

Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers. Light ridgeline winds.

Tomorrow · Fri Oct 16

Snow and rain developing in the morning, becoming moderate to locally heavy. Moderate ridgeline winds.

View the avalanche forecast for this zone (Olympics).

Precipitation and Snow (in)

Precipitation (liquid, in) and new snow by station; Total covers the whole forecast. Precip is the liquid equivalent of all precipitation (rain, snow, ice pellets), to the hundredth of an inch. To estimate snow, start at 10:1 (1" of precip ≈ 10" of snow); near freezing gives less (heavy, wet snow), very cold more (light, dry snow).

StationThu Oct 15Fri Oct 16Sat Oct 17Total
NightDayNightDay
PrecipSnowPrecipSnowPrecipSnowPrecipSnowPrecipSnow
Olympics
Hurricane Ridge000.17"1–3"0.12"0.5–2"0.05"T–1"0.34"2–4"
West North
Mt Baker Ski Area000.02"T–1"0.13"0.5–2"0.05"T–1"0.2"1–3"
West Central
Mt Loop — Barlow Pass0.08"0.5–2"0.05"T–1"0.45"4–6"0.15"1–3"0.73"5–9"
West South
Crystal Mountain0.02"T–1"0.23"1–3"0.38"3–5"000.63"5–7"
White Pass0.04"T–1"0.25"2–4"0.84"6–10"0.15"1–3"1.28"11–15"
Mt St Helens0.04"T–1"0.25"2–4"0.84"6–10"0.15"1–3"1.28"11–15"
Tieton River — Darland Mt0.02"T–1"0.15"1–3"0.42"3–5"0.05"T–1"0.64"5–7"
Stevens Pass
Stevens Pass0.02"T–1"0.08"0.5–2"0.56"5–7"0.15"1–3"0.81"6–10"
Snoqualmie Pass
Snoqualmie Pass0.02"T–1"0.15"1–3"0.75"6–10"0.25"2–4"1.17"10–14"
East North
Washington Pass000.02"T–1"0.05"T–1"000.07"T–1"
East Central
Paradise0.07"T–1"0.33"2–4"1.25"11–15"0.25"2–4"1.9"16–22"
Mission Ridge000.02"T–1"0.19"1–3"000.21"1–3"
Salmon la Sac — Gallagher Head000.08"0.5–2"0.46"4–6"0.08"0.5–2"0.62"5–7"
East South
Mt Hood Meadows000.25"2–4"0.56"5–7"0.15"1–3"0.96"8–12"
Mt Hood
Timberline 000.33"2–4"0.68"5–9"0.25"2–4"1.26"11–15"

SnowT–2", 1–7", 5–16", 12"+

Snow and Freezing Level (ft)

The general snow level over each 6 hours; a freezing level instead when no precipitation is expected.

ZoneThu Oct 15NightFri Oct 16DayFri Oct 16NightSat Oct 17Day
EveningNightMorningAfternoonEveningNightMorningAfternoon
Olympics3,500' freezing level3,500' freezing level3,000' snow level3,500' snow level6,000' snow level7,500' snow level6,500' snow level8,500' snow level
West North3,000' freezing level2,500' freezing level3,000' snow level3,500' snow level2,000' snow level2,000' snow level5,500' snow level5,500' snow level
West Central3,500' snow level3,000' snow level3,000' snow level3,500' snow level4,500' snow level5,500' snow level6,000' snow level6,500' snow level
West South3,500' snow level3,500' snow level3,000' snow level3,500' snow level5,000' snow level7,000' snow level7,000' snow level7,500' snow level
Stevens Pass3,000' snow level3,000' snow level2,500' snow level3,000' snow level3,500' snow level5,500' snow level5,000' snow level6,000' snow level
Snoqualmie Pass3,500' snow level3,500' snow level2,500' snow level3,000' snow level2,500' snow level2,500' snow level6,000' snow level6,000' snow level
East North3,000' freezing level2,000' freezing level2,500' snow level3,000' snow level3,000' snow level3,500' snow level4,500' freezing level5,000' freezing level
East Central3,000' snow level2,500' snow level2,500' snow level3,000' snow level3,500' snow level4,500' snow level5,000' snow level5,500' snow level
East South3,500' freezing level3,000' freezing level3,000' snow level3,500' snow level4,000' snow level6,000' snow level6,500' snow level7,000' snow level
Mt Hood3,500' freezing level3,500' freezing level3,500' snow level4,500' snow level2,500' snow level2,500' snow level8,500' snow level8,500' snow level

Snow level; none, freezing level<2,000', 2,000', 3,000', 4,000', 5,000', 6,000', 7,000', 8,000', 9,000', 10,000'+

5000' Temperatures (°F)

The high and low at 5000’ within each 12 hours, not a trend. The snow level, synopsis and weather summary say more about how temperatures change.

ZoneThu Oct 15Fri Oct 16
NightDay
Olympics24 / 2131 / 23
West North24 / 2026 / 22
West Central24 / 2128 / 23
West South25 / 2330 / 25
Stevens Pass24 / 2227 / 23
Snoqualmie Pass25 / 2227 / 24
East North24 / 2225 / 24
East Central24 / 2226 / 23
East South26 / 2329 / 25
Mt Hood28 / 2634 / 28

44 / 35 is the high / low

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

The average speed and direction over each 6 hours, from the 16-point compass direction the wind comes from. Ridgeline winds cover a range of elevations, differing by zone, that overlaps the near and above treeline bands of the avalanche forecast.

ZoneThu Oct 15NightFri Oct 16Day
EveningNightMorningAfternoon
OlympicsSW5–10LightS5–10LightS10–20Light to ModerateSW10–20Light to Moderate
West NorthSW5–10LightSW5–10LightS5–10LightS10–20Light to Moderate
West CentralW5–10LightSW5–10LightS5–10LightSSW10–20Light to Moderate
West SouthW5–10LightSW5–10LightSSW5–10LightSSW20–30Moderate to Strong
Stevens PassW5–10LightW5–10LightSSE5–10LightSSE10–20Light to Moderate
Snoqualmie PassW5–10LightW5–10LightSSE5–10LightSSE15–25Moderate
East NorthWSW5–10LightSW5–10LightS5–10LightS5–10Light
East CentralW10–20Light to ModerateWSW5–10LightS5–10LightS5–10Light
East SouthW5–10LightWSW5–10LightS5–10LightSSW10–20Light to Moderate
Mt HoodW10–20Light to ModerateWSW5–10LightSW10–20Light to ModerateSW20–30Moderate to Strong

Points the way the wind blowsVAR: variable

Extended

Outlook

The evolution of the next round of precipitation carries a fair bit of uncertainity as well; some models track the low NE toward Vancouver Island (a traditional landing spot) while others drift the low into western WA on Thanksgiving and Friday for heavier precipitation totals along with cooler snow levels. After the next round Wed night/Thu, we may trend towards drier and cooler weather closer to the holiday weekend.

Snow Levels (ft)

The general snow level over each 6 hours; a freezing level instead when no precipitation is expected.

ZoneSat Oct 17Sun Oct 18Mon Oct 19
NightDayNightDay
West North4,500' snow level4,500' snow level4,500' snow level4,500' snow level
Snoqualmie Pass4,500' snow level5,000' snow level5,500' snow level5,000' snow level
Mt Hood7,500' snow level7,000' snow level6,000' snow level5,500' snow level

Snow level; none, freezing level<2,000', 2,000', 3,000', 4,000', 5,000', 6,000', 7,000', 8,000', 9,000', 10,000'+

This information is provided by the U.S.D.A. Forest Service and describes general backcountry avalanche hazard and conditions. It does not apply to ski areas and highways where avalanche mitigation is conducted.